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Stock market is a place where shares of pubic listed companies
are traded. The primary market is where companies float shares
to the general public in an initial public offering (IPO) to raise capital. ...
A stock may be bought or sold only if it is listed on an exchange.
A lot of people call or believe investing in stocks is
gambling. A true investor would appreciate it being called risky. It’s like the
belief, that getting into sea waters or a pool is risky. But someone with the
right swimming skills would know, when and where to swim to enjoy it or in
other words we can say that if we are wondering near the ocean we cannot know
how deep its and without dip on sea we cannot
find the pearls .its its totally based upon true knowledge and without knowledge if you trade in stock market you are doing
nothing but firing your hands. I met with many people’s not even a single
trader I have seen in lifewho says iam in profit that’s why its called the
ocean of sarrow by traders . So what the trader
actually do he will get services
from some technically analyst and mostly they fail in the market because their main aim to get client and take money
from them for their services .Now A DAYS ITS BIG SPAM IS DONE BY INDORE TECHINALLY ANALISITS THEY ARE GIVING ALL WRONG CALLS. AND SO MNAY
TRADERS HAVE LOST THEIR MONEY .
Now the question arises how to get proper knowledge and how
to use it practically so that we can
enjoy stock market and make it our part
time or full time bussiness.First of all we must know Some Basic Terms of Stock
Markets without it we cannot stand in stock market its necessary for all investor
and trader.
Before we get to the art of picking worthy stocks to invest
in, let’s get to know some of the basic fundamental terms. Below terms are not
parts of the criteria to filter and pick good companies to stay invested in. I
am only explaining them, as i would be referring these terms in the later
sections. Also, you don’t need to be calculating or know mathematics, to find
these values for each company. All values are available in websites like
www.moneycontrol.com ... You just need to know what they mean. So, don’t worry
about the mathematics involved at all to be a good investor. If you find this
section confusing, just run through it fast. I am serious. It will all make
sense when you finish reading this book. You can come back and read this
chapter later, for more clarity.
In short- Beware of the “I know it all” syndrome as it may lead to huge
losses. There is no trader in the world who has never lost money in stock
markets. Loss is a part of this game. Losses are bound to come but our aim is
to minimize losses and maximize profits. Accepting the loss and moving ahead is
a major part then only can you sail through the stormy winds of stock market.
Remember
that your money is hard earned, don’t invest it without acquiring sufficient
knowledge. Many people think that they can never lose in stock market as they
have knowledge about how to trade. This is a wrong attitude as merely having
access to a chart does not give you the ability to understand what is right and
what is not. If this would have been the way, then everybody in a hospital
would have become a doctor. Trading requires knowledge, experience, patience as
well as risk management.
People
get attracted to stock markets because they are under the impression that this
is where they can make a fast buck. In other words, they are attracted by the
aspect of quick, big profits. People come to stock market with only one
objective and that is making money, forgetting all that is required for doing
so successfully. They forget that it is there hard earned money and forget the
mental torture that a person has to go through if it does not work out
properly.
This
casual attitude surprises me. When it comes to buying a mobile phone, the same
people would thoroughly check the pros and cons of the device. But when it
comes to stock markets, we only see the pros and not the cons. This is a recipe
for disaster.
Therefore
I believe that before you decide to enter the stock markets, you should
consider these three factors :-
1.Are
you mentally prepared for stock market?
2.Are
you physically fit for the stock market?
3.Are
you financially fit for the stock market?
Once
you start investing, there are many indicators, charts and techniques that tell
you what should be done next. There are various sites where you get daily calls
but I would suggest you to rely only upon your information, knowledge and
experience.
Some Golden
rules of stock market
Rule 1: Don’t Put all of your eggs in 1 basket…… The first
basic rule of investing is to spread the risk around. The biggest mistake you
will ever make is to invest too much money into any one stock. Even Warren
Buffett gets it wrong! So don’t ever get ahead of yourself. Be smart. Diversify
your risk!
Rule 2: Know your Investor Profile…….. In order to set
yourself up for success in the stock market you need to know what type of
investor you are and what type of risk tolerance you have. As a general rule of
thumb, the greater the reward, the greater the risk you must take. Most people
don’t want to lose money but would like to make a lot. Unfortunately, there is
no such thing as a free lunch in the stock market. In order to profit, you must
take some degree of risk. Finding that balance between risk and reward is
critical. Taking a reality check now will set you up for success in the future.
You need to identify your tolerance for risk. Take 5 minutes to complete this
Investor Profiling exercise……… Answer the following 12 questions. Write down
the number of the answer to each question which most accurately reflects you.
There is no right or wrong answer here just answer honestly for yourself.
Rule no 3----: Invest
in Fundamentals not charts! The fundamentals of a company will drive the share
price. Technical Analysis/Charts do not offer you any statistical advantage
when buying shares. Charts are a ‘get out’ for lazy investors who are looking
for quick and easy ways to find reasons to buy or sell a stock. Charts can be
very useful to get a picture of the ‘past’, but that is all you will get,
charts are not a predictor of the future. If you want to gauge the future value
of a company you need to do a bit of research - there is no shortcut. It will
ultimately boil down to the expected future growth rate of the sales and
profits of a company. This is not rocket science. It is a process of the asking
yourself some very basic questions and more importantly answering the
questions: 1. What does the company do and how do they make money? 2. How big
is the company? 3. How long has the company been in business? 4. How
competitive is the market? 5. Does the company have a track record of
delivering sales and profit growth? Growth is the key word. 6. What are the
debt levels of the company? 7. Does the company pay a dividend? What is the
Dividend Yield? Is the Copyright 2017 www.sharenavigator.com dividend
sustainable? 8. What are the future sales and profit growth projections? 9. How
is the company valued versus their competitors of similar size?
Rule no 4---Have a
Target ‘Buy’ Price and a Target ‘Sell’ Price The example with Apple gives you
an idea of the some of the basic research you need to do before you invest in a
company. This is how you identify potential ‘value’. When you do this, your
success rate in the markets will soar. Too many people invest on a tip from a
friend or because a chart looks like it is giving a buy signal. This is not
smart. We all have companies that we love ……. Google, Face book, Amazon...the
list goes on. ● But are they good value? ● What price should you buy them at? ●
What is the future growth potential look like? ● What is the target price for
the stock? This is the one question most amateur investors fail ask and answer.
● You need an exit strategy...at some point stocks can become too expensive and
it’s time to get them out of your portfolio. We sold Apple at $130.05. We felt
at that stage the value was not longer there in the company with the
information on hand. Since then Apple has risen further to $160. Hindsight is a
wonderful thing… am I annoyed… no...because I have set rules that I follow, the
information available at the time suggested a stock that was fully valued.
Remember...you do not have a crystal ball… follow your value investing
principles and you will do just fine over time
Rule no 5----Evaluate
the Stock at Earnings Every quarter publicly quoted companies make an ‘earnings’
announcement. This is where the company informs the market and investors as to
how their sales and profits have performed for the past 3 months. During an
earnings release the company will also guide their expected performance for the
next quarter and in some cases the next year. This allows you then to reassess
the fundamentals of the company.
Summary……... 1. Diversify your risk - Do not put all of your
eggs in one basket. 2. Know your investor profile - This will help narrow down
the stocks you should be look for. 3. Find stocks that meet your investor
profile - we can show you how. 4. Don’t invest based on a chart - there is no
advantage to you! 5. Invest in the fundamentals - we will show you how to do
this. 6. Find quality stocks at the right price to buy - we will show you how.
7. Have a target price for every investment - This will keep you focused and
remind you of why you are investing in the company. 8. Get educated - like
everything in life, there is a right way and there is a wrong way. Learn the
right way! 9. Take a free trial - You have nothing to lose and everything to
gain!
Market Capitalization----- A Company is divided into
numerous shares and this number varies from company to company. For example,
Infosys is divided into over 57 Crore shares and each share price is worth over
Rupees 2500today. TCS has over 195 Crore shares and each share price is worth
over Rupees 1000 today. Market capitalization is nothing but the total value of
a company (Total number of shares multiplied by current share price). As the
share price varies from time to time, so does the market capitalization. One
way to look at market capitalization is:Let’s say, if you have Rupees 1,42,500
Crores in hand, you can technically buy all shares of Infosys and be the sole owner
of Infosys. Thing to note here is, share price of Infosys (Rupees 2500) is more
than the share price of TCS (Rupees 1000). But, TCS is the bigger company in
terms of valuations or market capitalization. In a good company, majority of
the shares are held by promoters& their families (Founders of the company),
FII's (Foreign Institutional Investors), Mutual Funds and HNI's (High Net
worthIndividuals). The common public holds only a very little portion.
Earnings Per Share (EPS) & (P/E) Earnings
per share or EPS is an important financial
measure, which indicates the profitability of a company. It is calculated by
dividing the company's net income with its total number of outstanding shares.
PE is calculated by dividing
current market price by EPS (ttm). ... It is calculated bydividing
the current market price of the stock by its earning
per share (EPS). It shows the sum of money you are ready to pay
for each rupee worth of the earningsof the
company.
Earnings per share (EPS) are nothing but, profits or losses
made in the last 12 months divided by the total number of shares.
Mathematically, it’s defined as below:
Earnings per share (EPS) = (Profits or Losses per year) /
(Total number of shares)
In every three months the EPS will change because its
totally based upon the finacial results
announced by the company if resultes are good the EPS will rise and vice versa.
Now, let’s take the example of TCS. TCS made profits of Rupees 7570 Crores in
2011 (FY 2011). We know that TCS is divided into 195 Crore shares. So, what
does EPS of TCS in 2011 mean? It means that,each share of TCS worth Rupees
1000, earned or made profits of Rupees 38, in 2011. Now, P/E is a derived term
from EPS. P/E is mathematically defined as below: Since, share price changes
every day, so does its P/E. IT companies normally have a P/E of around 25.
Steel companies normally have a lower P/E of 6. P/E varies from sector to
sector and from company to company, based on various factors which cannot be
analyzed or reasoned with. So don’t worry about it. P/E is similar to price of
a land per square feet [ (Price of Land) / (Total Area of Land) ]. Land price
in a City will always be higher than that of price of land in a Village. The
common mis-understanding among amateur investors is that, lower P/E is cheap
valuations and higher P/E is expensive valuations. This is so wrong. P/E is an
immaterial factor, to find good worthy stocks for investing. Earnings per share
(EPS) = (Profits or Losses per year) / (Total number of shares) EPS of TCS in
2011 = (TCS profits in 2011) / (Total number of share in TCS) = (7570 Crores) /
(195 Crores) = 38 Rupees per share.
1. Annual Report
An annual report is a report prepared by a company that’s intended
to impress shareholders. It contains tons of information about the company,
from its cash flow to its management strategy. When you read an annual report,
you’re judging the company’s solvency and financial situation.
2. Arbitrage
Arbitrage refers to buying and selling the same security on
different markets and at different price points. For instance, if stock
let suppose Vedanta is trading at 190 on one market and 192on
another, the trader could buy Vedanta shares for $190 and sell them for 192on
the other market, pocketing the difference.
3. Averaging Down
When an investor buys more of a stock as the price goes down. This
makes it so your average purchase price decreases. You might use this strategy
if you believe that the general consensus about a company is wrong, so you
expect the stock price to rebound later.
4. Bear Market
Gold cast statuette depicting a stylized bull and a bear in
dramatic contrasting light representing a financial market trends created by
Inked Pixels – Shutterstock.com
Trading talk for the stock market being in a downward trend, or a period
of falling stock prices. This is the opposite of a bull market. If a stock price plummets, it’s very
bearish.
5. Beta
A measurement of the relationship between the price of a stock and
the movement of the whole market. If stock XYZ has a beta of 1.5, that means
that for every 1 point move in the market, stock XYZ moves 1.5 points, and vice
versa.
6. Blue Chip Stocks
The stocks behind large, industry-leading companies. They offer a
stable record of significant dividend payments and have a reputation of sound
fiscal management. The expression is thought to have been derived from blue
gambling chips, which is the highest denomination of chips used in casinos.
7. Bourse
This stock market term is a little murky. Technically, it’s just
another name for the stock market and originates from a house in which wealthy
men gathered to trade shares. However, when you hear it in today’s
conversations about the stock market, it usually either refers to the Paris
stock exchange or to a non-U.S. stock exchange.
8. Bull Market
When the stock market as a whole is in a prolonged period of
increasing stock prices. It’s the opposite of a bear market. A single stock can
be bullish or bearish too, as can a sector, which I’ll describe later on.
9. Broker
10. Bid
The bid is the amount of money a trader is willing to pay per
share for a given stock. It’s balanced against the ask price, which is what a
seller wants per share of that same stock, and the spread is the difference
between those two prices.
11. Close
THE NSE AND BSE close at 3.30 p.m.,. The close simply refers to
the time at which a stock exchange closes to trading.
12. Day Trading
The practice of buying and selling within the same trading day,
before the close of the markets on that day, is called day trading. This is my primary trading
strategy, although I have a long-term portfolio, as well. Traders who
participate in day trading are often called “active traders” or “day traders.”
13. Dividend
A portion of a company’s earnings that is paid to shareholders, or
people that own that company’s stock, on a quarterly or annual basis. Not all
companies pay dividends. For instance, if you trade penny stocks, you’re likely
not after dividends.
14. Exchange----Organized and regulated financial market where securities
(bonds, notes, shares) are bought and sold at prices governed by the forces of
demand and supply. Stock exchanges basically serve as (1) primary markets where
corporations, governments, municipalities, and other incorporated bodies can
raise capital by channeling savings of the investors into productive ventures;
and (2) secondary markets where investors can sell their securities to other
investors for cash, thus reducing the risk of investment and maintaining
liquidity in the system. Stock exchanges impose stringent rules, listing
requirements, and statutory requirements that are binding on all listed and
trading parties.
Trades in the older exchanges are conducted on the floor (called the 'trading floor') of the exchange itself, by shouting orders and instructions (called open outcry system). On modern exchanges, trades are conducted over telephone or online. Almost all exchanges are 'auction exchanges' where buyers enter competitive bids and sellers enter competitive orders through a trading day. Some European exchanges, however, use 'periodic auction' method in which round-robin calls are made once a trading day. The first stock exchange was opened in Amsterdam in 1602; the three largest exchanges in the world are (in the descending order) New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), London Stock Exchange (LSE), and the Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE). Called also stock market. See also exchange.
15. Execution
Trades in the older exchanges are conducted on the floor (called the 'trading floor') of the exchange itself, by shouting orders and instructions (called open outcry system). On modern exchanges, trades are conducted over telephone or online. Almost all exchanges are 'auction exchanges' where buyers enter competitive bids and sellers enter competitive orders through a trading day. Some European exchanges, however, use 'periodic auction' method in which round-robin calls are made once a trading day. The first stock exchange was opened in Amsterdam in 1602; the three largest exchanges in the world are (in the descending order) New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), London Stock Exchange (LSE), and the Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE). Called also stock market. See also exchange.
15. Execution
When an order to buy or sell has been completed, the trader has
executed the transaction. If you put in an order to sell 100 shares, this means
that all 100 shares have been sold.
16. Haircut
In its most simplest stock market terms, a haircut is an extremely
thin spread between the bid and ask prices of a given stock. It can also refer
to a situation in which a stock price gets reduced by a specific percentage for
margin trades or other purposes.
17. High
A high refers to a market milestone in which a stock or index
reaches a greater price point than previously. Record highs can signal that a
stock or index has never reached the current price point, but there are also
time-constrained highs, such as 30-day highs.
18. Index
A benchmark that is used as a reference marker for traders and
portfolio managers. A 10 percent return may sound good, but if the market index
returned 12 percent, then you didn’t do very well since you could have just
invested in an index fund and saved time by not trading frequently.
19. Initial Public Offering
(IPO)-- The process for making shares of a private company available
to the public for the first time
is called an initial public offering or IPO. The
company selling the shares is called the issuer and will usually work with an
investment bank or multiple banks to conduct the IPO.
An IPO is the first sale or offering of a stock by a company to
the public. It happens when a company decides to go public rather than remain
solely owned by private or inside investors. The Securities Exchange Commission (SEC) has strict rules
that companies must follow before issuing an IPO.
20. Leverage
I’m not a fan of leverage, but it’s good for you to know
this stock market term. When you use leverage, you borrow shares in a stock
from your broker with the goal of increasing your profit. If you borrow shares
and sell them all at a higher price point, you return the shares and keep the
difference. It’s a dangerous game that I urge you to avoid playing.
21. Low
Low is the opposite of high. It represents a lower price point for
a stock or index.
22. Margin
A margin account lets a person borrow money (take out a loan,
essentially) from a broker to purchase an investment. The difference between
the amount of the loan and the price of the securities is called the margin.
Trading on margin can be dangerous because, if you’re wrong about
the direction in which the stock will go, you can lose significant cash. You
must often maintain a minimum balance in a margin account.
23. Moving Average
A stock’s average price-per-share during a specific period of time
is called its moving average. Some common time frames to study in terms of a
stock’s moving average include 50- and 200-day moving averages.
24. Open
In the INDIA, the stock market opens at 9:15 a.m. It’s based on
the trading hours of the NSE and BSE. Pre-market
trading hours begin at 9.00a.m. but most traders don’t begin paying
attention until about 8 a.m. Essentially, open refers to the time at which
people can begin trading on a particular exchange.
25. Order
An investor’s bid to buy or sell a certain amount of stock or
option contracts constitutes an order. You have to put an order in to buy or
sell 100 shares of stock, for instance.
26. Pink Sheet Stocks
The term “pink sheets” refers most commonly to penny stocks, which are traded at RS 5 per
share or less. They’re also called over-the-counter stocks because that’s how
they are traded. You can easily find them on BSE OR NSE and they’re often
smaller companies.
27. Portfolio
A collection of investments owned by an investor makes up his or
her portfolio. You can have as few as one stock in a portfolio, but you can
also own an infinite amount of stocks or other securities.
28. Quote
Information on a stock’s latest trading price tells you its quote.
This is sometimes delayed by 20 minutes unless you’re using an actual broker
trading platform.
29. Rally
A rapid increase in the general price level of the market or of
the price of a stock is known as a rally. Depending on the overall environment,
it might be called a bull rally or a bear rally. In a bear market, upward
trends of as little as 10 percent can qualify as a rally.
30. Sector
A group of stocks that are in the same industry belong to the same
sector. An example would be the technology sector, which includes companies
like Apple and Microsoft. Some traders prefer to trade in a specific sector,
such as energy, because they know the industry well and can better predict
stock price fluctuations.
Challenge idea game wooden one corporate created by Mindandi –
Freepik.com
Any market in which shares of a particular company are bought and
sold. The stock market is an example — and probably the most significant
example — of a share market.
32. Short Selling
When you short-sell a
stock, you borrow shares from someone else with the promise to return
them at a point down the road. You then sell the stock for a profit. It’s a way
to take advantage of a stock that you believe will decrease in price. After you
sell short, you can buy back the shares at the lower price point and take the
difference in price as your profit.
I use short selling on a regular basis. It’s often a smart move in
a volatile market if you see patterns that indicate a sharp downward turn for a
stock.
33. Spread
This is the difference between the bid and the ask prices of a
stock, or the amount for which someone is willing to buy it and the amount for
which someone is willing to sell it. For instance, if a trader is willing to
trade XYZ stock for 210 and a buyer is willing to pay 209 for it, the spread is
$1.
34. Stock Symbol
A stock symbol is a one- to four-character alphabetic root symbol
that represents a publicly traded company on a stock exchange. Tatastell stock
symbol is TISCO , while VEDANTA’s is VDL..
35. Volatility
The price movements of a stock or the stock market as a
whole. Highly volatile stocks are those with extreme daily up and
down movements and wide intraday trading ranges. This is often common with
stocks that are thinly traded or have low trading volumes.
I’m a big fan of high-volatility stocks because I can make a big
profit off spikes or dips, depending on how I’m trading, in a short period of
time. High volatility often makes trading more exciting, but it’s also risky if
you’re inexperienced.
36. Volume
The number of shares of stock traded during a particular time
period, normally measured in average daily trading volume. Volume can also mean
the number of shares you purchase of a given stock. For instance, buying 2,000
shares of a company is a higher-volume purchase than buying 20 shares.
37. Yield
Often refers to the measure of the return on an investment that is
received from the payment of a dividend. This is determined by dividing the
annual dividend amount by the price paid for the stock. If you bought stock XYZ
for 40 per share and it pays a 1.00-per-year dividend, you have a “yield” of
2.5 percent.
The Bottom Line
Knowing your stock market terms will make you a better
trader. It takes time to grasp the intricacies of securities trading, but once you
do, the stock market terms above will become part of your daily vocabulary.
I urge you to quiz yourself on stock market terms until you’re
highly familiar with them all. You can also explore other stock market terms as
they pop up in your research so you don’t get confused.
If you’re interested in learning how to trade stocks, consider
applying for the Trading
Challenge. I’m currently hunting for my next successful student, and I look
forward to working with you in the future.
Equity Trading – Fundamental versus Technical Analysis
Equity Trading – Fundamental versus Technical Analysis
The term equity trading and stock trading are sometimes used synonymously; however, there are
a few minor differences between the two. Let’s start with the basic definition;
equity trading is essentially the purchase or sale of company stock through one
of the major stock exchanges, just as stock trading is. An equity trade can be
placed by the owner of the shares, through a brokerage account, or through an
agent or broker; again, similar to stock trading.
The key difference between equity trading
and stock trading lies in their investment options and management firms. Equity
trading firms specialize in offering in-depth market research, trading
expertise, unique trading systems (even
algorithmic), and have direct access to the trading floor for better
executions. These equities trading firms predominately exist in the form of
hedge funds and are set up to trade within a larger investment bank; such as
Morgan Stanley, Goldman, Sachs, JPMorgan, and Bank of America to name a few.
Hedge Funds
Hedge funds have more leeway in their
investing activities and are generally far more active than traditional mutual
funds that believe in the long term buy and hold approach; however, this tends
to be a double-edged sword. There have been many instances where hedge funds
have significantly outperformed mutual funds and actually profited handsomely
during down markets. Conversely, they take risks and these risks can wipe a
large portion of your capital out if the hedge fund manager goes through a dry
spell.
Hedge funds allow a fund manager with the
flexibility to invest in any type of asset class that they choose, as long as
it fits within their trading strategy or plan; this can include stock trading,
equity trading, bond trading, equity
option trading, or even foreign currency trading.
Private Equity Trading Firms
There has been a flood of private equity
day trading firms which have come to market, also known as “prop” firms. These
companies grow their capital by allowing successful traders to have access to
the firm’s capital. In many cases, these equities trading firms will design
their own formula for success and require each trader to use this formula.
Others will allow their traders to have free reign to use any strategy that
they choose as long as they consistently remain profitable. For the most part,
private equity day trading firms utilize technical analysis and their ability
to track money flow to take advantage of short-term trading opportunities in
the markets.
Where Can I Trade Equities?
In the past, equity traders conducted
business in-person. Back in the day, you as an investor would call your order
into your brokerage firm, at which point the order would flow down to the
trading floor. We all remember seeing pictures of men yelling at each other to
fill orders while holding small sheets of papers in their hands. There were
huge blackboards with people sliding up and down the ladder updating prices
with chalk.
Well, needless
to say, we have progressed quite a bit from chalkboards.
Today, trading is automated and completely electronic.
Many stock exchanges no longer have pits and use supercomputing to fill
orders. Traders are able to purchase stocks remotely using their computer
or Smartphone. This happens through easy-to-use trading platforms, where
equity traders have access to real-life charts and market execution
capabilities such as trade tickets.
Now, you can buy
or sell stocks with a simple click of the mouse or push of a finger using your
tablet. The only thing stopping you from placing a trade is opening an online
brokerage account.
Oh, how things
have changed!
Now that we have
covered equities trading, let's dig into stock trading, which is where the
common person will likely conduct their trading activity.
Stock Trading
If you think
that you will start making money in a flash after opening a trading account,
you are absolutely wrong. Stock trading is all about having the odds on your
side. When trading, 100% success is a fairytale.
In order to be
successful at stock trading, you must be detailed
oriented and have a methodical system for
interpreting market behavior.
If your analysis
is sound and you are a disciplined trader, you just might have a shot at this the greatest of all games.
Now, I would
like to introduce you to the two types of analysis every stock trader should be
aware of prior to investing one dime in the market.
Fundamental Analysis
Fundamental
analysis covers all of the financial aspects of a company which are made
available to the public in the form of quarterly reports and annual statements.
Additional
information sources include the quality of the executive management team, news
events, and overall economic data which could impact the company’s performance.
In other words,
you should be aware of micro and macro events that could impact the company’s
bottom line.
I will give you
an example of a Bulgarian bank. Its clients were falsely informed that the bank
is performing poorly and that the company is on the brink of bankruptcy. As a
result of this misinformation, there were numerous deposit withdrawals from
that bank. This led to lack of operative capital and the bears were then able
to run the stock price down.
The inability to
secure financing due to the perceived market risk ultimately led to the bank
filing for bankruptcy.
News can be a
powerful market driver; therefore, you should always be abreast of what’s going
on if you decide to use fundamental analysis as your method for interpreting
market performance.
Develop Your Trading 6th Sense
No more panic, no more doubts. make the right decisions
because you've seen it with your trading simulator, webull
Technical analysis with echocardiogram technique.
Everyone has a technique in life to get Success in the field
he works either its learned from someone,copied
or invented ,similarly I have invented a technique to face the stock
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one will w explain the theory with practical examples I will teach my theory to
all who wants to gain only in stock market, no doubt lit bit efforts we needed
to learn and to apply in real life I mean in stock market.
All game starts from electrocardiograph –so first we must
know what is electrocardiograph
What is an ECG? An ECG is a paper or
digital recording of the electrical signals in the heart. It is also called an
electrocardiogram or an EKG. The ECG is used to determine heart rate, heart
rhythm and other information regarding the heart's condition. ECGs are used to
help diagnose heart arrhythmias, heart attacks, pacemaker function and heart
failure.
P-wave: The first little “hump” or “bump” you see is known as the P-wave.
The P wave is a summation wave generated
by the depolarization front as it transits the atria. ... Depolarization
originating elsewhere in the atria (atrial ectopics) result in P waves with
a different morphology from normal.
Study tip: The P-wave represents ATRIAL DEPOLARIZATION
(depolarization is a big, fancy word for CONTRACTION).
QRS Complex: The next area you see is a big spike. This spike is called the
QRS complex. The bundle of His, bundle branches, and Purkinje fibers are
responsible for this.
Study tip: The QRS complex represent VENTRICLE DEPOLARIZATION
(contractions of the ventricles)
T-wave: After this spike, you will see a “bump” shortly after the
complex. This “bump” is called the t-wave and is caused by the ventricles
relaxing. The ventricles are so large that when they contract (depolarize) the
form a large electrical impulse that presents the QRS complex. Therefore,
(because they are so large) when they relax (repolarize) they form a small
electrical impulse that presents as the t-wave.
Study tip: What area of PQRST EKG reading represents ventricle
repolarization? T-wave
ST segment: This segment starts at the J-point. The J-point is where you start to see an upward stroke after the S wave. The segment ends at the beginning of the T-wave. The ST-segment represents when the ventricles are relaxing, also called repolarizing.
The now the main question is how we can fit
that technique into stock market. If you
are a trader or investor. Whenever you have time you will watch CNBC or
ZEEBUSSINESS. In a single day there is kumbmela of technical teachers they use
different technical methods to study stock I use only electrocardiogram method
to study it simply it’s the technical method and that fit 100%.now I will explain how we
can use that technique to stock trading that’s is very interesting and
adventurous.
The main question is that how to find p-wave in stock market
graph (p wave---- The P-wave represents ATRIAL DEPOLARIZATION (depolarization is
a big, fancy word for CONTRACTION).
Meaning of CONTRACTION in money market…..(CONTRACTION)---situation in which less money is being earned, spent,
or invested in a market or economy: we will assume p wave is the opening price
of nifty the opening price of the nifty
is 10759 on 21 February on 2019 it mean p wave is made at 9.15am when nifty
open after that The next area you see is a big spike. This spike is
called the QRS complex. As per above picture we can see nifty is 10769.60 here
its making q wave and after few minutes it comes to 10763 which is S save And show here spike for bull run and
immediately its making R wave and touched to 10799.20
We have
to locate this waves and identify where the stock or nifty is going if we are
100% correct the profit will kiss our
feet ..
Now I am comparing with one the nifty stocks apply same theory.
we will assume p wave is the opening price of
nifty the opening price of the Vedanta
is 165.45 on 21 February on 2019 it mean p wave is made at 9.15am when NSE
open after that The next area you see is a big spike. This spike is called the
QRS complex. As per above picture we can see VEDANTA is 166.50here its making q
wave and after few minutes it comes to 164.50 which is S save And show here spike for bull run and and
immediately its making R wave and touched to 169.95 We have to locate this waves and identify where the stock or nifty is
going if we are 100% correct the profit will kiss our feet.
The main thing in the market which nobody knows
when to enter and when to exit
.In simple way what is the stop loss and what is the target price that
is very interesting thing and its very simple according to the
electrocardiogram technique the I have
given the two examples above and I will try to use the nifty graph and Vedanta
graph to solve the query.
the
opening price of the nifty is 10759 on 21 February on 2019
it mean p wave is made at 9.15am when nifty open after that The next area you see is
a big spike. This spike is called the QRS complex. As per above picture we can
see nifty is 10769.60 here its making q wave and after few minutes it comes to
10763 which is S wave we will use here simple mathematic formula s wave- p wave +10(s wave10763-10759+10=
14) 14 point is stop loss of nifty means 10749 now second point is how to set
target when stock or nifty is making r
wave(r wave denotes the bull trend of the stock and it always go high side on
graph)10775 showing the r wave (r wave +14 Points 10775+14=10789 its considered first target if we add 14
points more in it it will becomes second target. The second target of nifty is
10803.
The theory of stop loss and target is littalbit change in
case of stocks because the trading in stock and trading in nifty is quite
different. we will assume p wave is the opening price of nifty the opening price of the Vedanta is 165.45
on 21 February on 2019 it mean p wave is made at 9.15am when NSE
open after that The next area you see is a big spike. This spike is called the
QRS complex. As per above picture we can see VEDANTA is 166.50here its making q
wave and after few minutes it comes to 164.50 which is S save. And show here
spike for bull run and and immediately its making R wave and touched to 169.95
when the stock comes near to the s wave it mean it goes either side from
here the simple formula of calculating
Stop loss is (p wave-s wave multiply by
2 (166.45-164.50=1.95x2 =162.55 stop loss ) ( target from p wave to add1.95x2
=165.45+3.9 (169.35 target price)
Basic Concept of Technical Analysis
SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE--------------Support and
resistance is a concept of technical analysis that the movement of the price of
a security will tend to stop and reverse at certain predetermined price levels.
Support----Support is the price level at
which demand is thought to be strong enough to prevent the price from declining
further. The logic dictates that as the price declines towards support and gets
cheaper, buyers become more inclined to buy and sellers become less inclined to
sell.
Resistance-----
Resistance is the price level at which selling is thought to be strong enough
to prevent the price from rising further. The logic dictates that as the price
advances towards resistance, sellers become more inclined to sell and buyers
become less inclined to buy.
What is a
Breakout?
A breakout refers to when the
price of an asset moves above a resistance area, or moves below
a support area. Breakouts indicate the potential for the price to
start trending in the breakout direction. For example, a breakout to
the upside from a chart pattern could indicate the price will start
trending higher. Breakouts that occur on high volume (relative to
normal volume) show greater conviction which means the price is more likely to
trend in that direction.
Key Takeaways
- A
breakout is when the price moves above a resistance level or moves below a
support level.
- Breakouts
can be subjective since not all traders will recognize or use the same
support and resistance levels.
- Breakouts
provide possible trading opportunities. A breakout to the upside signals
traders to possible get long or cover short positions.
A breakout to the downside signals traders to possibly get short or to
sell long positions.
- Breakouts
with relatively high volume show conviction and interest, and therefore
the price is more likely to continue moving in the breakout direction.
- Breakouts
on low relative volume are more prone to failure, so the price is less
likely to trend in the breakout direction.
What Does a Breakout Tell You?
A breakout occurs because the
price has been contained below a resistance level or above a support level,
potentially for some time. The resistance or support level becomes a line in
the sand which many traders use to set entry points or stop loss levels.
When the price breaks through the support or resistance level traders waiting
for the breakout jump in, and those who didn't want the price to breakout exit
their positions to avoid larger losses.
This flurry of activity will
often cause volume to rise, which shows lots of traders were interested in the
breakout level. The higher than average volume helps confirm the breakout. If
there is little volume on the breakout, the level may not have been significant
to a lot of traders, or not enough traders felt convicted to place a trade near
the level yet. These low volume breakouts are more likely to fail. In the
case of an upside breakout, if it fails the price will fall back below
resistance. In the case of a downside breakout, often called a breakdown,
if it fails the price will rally back above the support level it broke below.
Breakouts are commonly
associated with ranges or other chart patterns, including
triangles, flags, wedges, and head-and-shoulders. These patterns are formed
when the price moves in a specific way which results in well-defined support
and/or resistance levels. Traders then watch these levels for breakouts. They
may initiate long positions or exit short positions if the price breaks above
resistance, or they may initiate short positions or exit long position if the
price breaks below support.
Even after a high volume
breakout, the price will often (but not always) retrace to the
breakout point before moving in the breakout direction again. This is because
short-term traders will often buy the initial breakout, but then attempt to
sell quite quickly for a profit. This selling temporarily drives the price back
to the breakout point. If the breakout is legitimate (not a failure), then the
price should move back in the breakout direction. If it doesn't, it's a failed
breakout.
Traders who use breakouts to
initiate trades typically utilize stop loss orders in case the breakout fails.
In the case of going long on an upside breakout, a stop loss is typically
placed just below the resistance level. In the case of going short on a
downside breakout, a stop loss is typically placed just above the support level
that has been breached.
Now iam giving the the example
of support resistance and Breakeven point with the help of live charts of March
1 2019.
First of all we have to open
graph lets us find the support of the REPCO HOME FIANANCE
The p wave is 334.95 and and
immediately it fallowed by r wave and it leads to 346.42 now the stock started
consolidated at 347 to 346 from one hour and we will consider the r wave its
support level 346the orange line indicated it than the stock move 347 to 350
level and hovering around at least 1 hour here which makes its resistance when
it crossed 350(the breakeven point) immediately it moves to 359 which was set
as a target.
The second example of Mind tree.
The p wave is 907 and immediately it fallowed by r wave and
it leads to 920 now the stock started consolidated at 922 to 918 few minutes and we will consider the r wave its support
level 920 the orange line indicated it than the stock move 921 to 924 level and
hovering around at least 1 hour here which makes its resistance when it crossed
926(the breakeven point) immediately it moves to 935 which was set as a target.
Indicators
Volatility---There are several volatility indicators
available for stock traders and analysts to use when determining entry and exit
points for trades. Volatility is often used as a deterrent for a risky trade,
but increased fear or complacency in the market can make for an exceptional
trading ground for experienced investors. Some of the most commonly used tools
that determine volatility are the volatility index (VIX), the average true range (ATR) indicator and Bollinger Bands.
Volatility
terminology
The natural rhythm of
the market is not only trending and consolidation but we have to also deal with
different types of volatility. This is where understanding and using
volatility indicators can help you trade more effectively and keep your
expectations in check.
Volatile periods in
the markets can, in the worst scenario, create wild and sharp swings in
the markets which can make them difficult to trade. We often see
extreme volatility after certain news releases and world events that are
extreme in nature and this type of action is easily seen on the chart.
Volatility can be more
subtle which we see during extended runs during trending markets and more muted
volatility during the consolidation phase of the market. Each of these
types of environments are going to have different types of market
approaches that can be used.
High Volatility
·
Trending types of
systems looking to take advantage of individual swings or longer positions
until there is a change in trend
·
Breakout systems will
take advantage of the volatility that arises when there is a true breakout of a
consolidation
Low Volatility
·
You can utilize a
channel trading system which can be trend line channels or some types of bands
·
Reversion systems
will have you taking positions when markets reach a support or resistance
zone the contains the consolidation
Knowing what phase the
market is in will assist you in using the “right tool” for the job.
You probably don’t want to look for longer term trending plays inside of
a low volatility consolidation area. You would be letting positions ride
when the reversal takes place which will have detrimental impact on your
trading account.
Inside of every
charting platform, there are tools called volatility indicators that
will help you objectively measure the level of the volatility and it’s
important to fully understand the tool you are going to use. Keep in mind
there is no best volatility indicator to use so don’t spend too much time
picking and tweaking the indicator. This applies to any market including
Forex and Futures. Apply it to your chart using the standard setting and that
should help you begin to learn how to see volatility in price action.
Indicators volume
Volume is a measure of how
much of a given financial asset has been traded in a given period of
time, or how many times the asset has been bought or sold over a particular
span. It is a very powerful tool but is often overlooked because it is
such a simple indicator. Volume information can be found just about
anywhere, but few traders or investors know how to use this
information to increase their profits and minimize risk.
For all buyers in the market,
there needs to be someone who sells them the shares they bought in order
to have a trade, just as there must be a buyer in order for a seller to
get rid of his or her shares. This battle between buyers and sellers for the
best price in all different time frames creates short-term price movement while
longer-term technical and fundamental factors play out.
Using volume to analyze stocks (or any financial asset) can bolster
profits and also reduce risk.
Mike Tyson probably wasn't thinking of markets when he said
"Everyone has a plan until they get punched in the face." But
that's exactly what volatility does to an investor's plan for his
portfolio.
Indicator
movementem
In finance, moventum is the empirically
obseerved tedency for rissing asset
prices to rise futher. For instance it was shown that the stocks with strong
past performance countinue to outperfom stocks with poor past performance in
the next peroid with an averge excess return of about 1%per month .
The existance of movementems is a market
anomaly which finance theory struggles to explan. The diffculity is that an
increase in assect prices in hand and of itself,should not warrant futher increase. Such increase,
according to the efficient- market hypothesis, is warranted only by chanfe in
demand and supply for new information( cf. fundamental analysis.)
Relative strength index
The relative strength index (RSI)
is a technical indicator used in the analysis of financial markets.
It is intended to chart the current and historical strength or
weakness of a stock or market based on the closing prices of a recent trading
period. The indicator should not be confused with relative
strength.
The stock shows overbought and oversold
conditions.
For example
let us suppose the RSI hits 100 and pulls back to 95, than rises to 103 and if
again falls below 95 this is called
faliture swing. If your are invester or a trader you can apply same words to
dhfl stock same thing happned here its clearly menthoned in the charts.
In simple
words we can say that the chart formations and the areasof support and the
resisitance could sometimes be more easily seen on RSI charts as opposed on the
price chart.the center line for the relative strength index is 50, which is
ofen seen as both the support and resistance line for the indicators. If the RSI is below 50, it generally means
that the stock”s losses greater thanthe gains. When the RSI Index is above50,
it gernally means that the gains are the greater than the losses.
Uptrends and
downtrends
5 types of RSI range propounded by Andrew Cardwell
The following are 5 types of Relative Strength Index range that
help to determine the trend of the underlying asset.
1) Bullish Range– It has been observed that in the
Bullish Range, Relative Strength Index tends to oscillate in 40-80 range. When
RSI reaches 40, it’s an oversold zone and whenever RSI reaches 80, it’s an
overbought zone.
2) Super Bullish Range– It has been seen in the
Super Bullish range, Relative Strength Index tends to oscillate between 60-80
zones. So, whenever RSI reaches 60-65, it’s a good opportunity to buy and it’s
very likely market may bounce back from these levels.
3) Bearish Range– It has been observed that in
Bearish Range Relative Strength Index tends to oscillate between 20-65 zones.
Accordingly, when RSI reaches 60-65 zone it’s an overbought area
(acts as a good selling point for targets of 40 and 20 on RSI) and RSI reaches
up to 20 is an oversold zone and this could be used to enter into a long
position for a pullback.
4) Super Bearish Range– It has been observed that
Relative Strength Index tends to oscillate between 20-40 zones in the super
bearish range
Whenever RSI reaches 40 levels it’s a sell for 20 Relative
Strength Index as a target.
5) Sideways Range– In sideways range, it has been
observed that Relative Strength Index tends to oscillate between 40 to 60-65
zones which basically help us to determine that an asset or market is in
sideways.
Hence, we should avoid trading when Relative Strength Index is
under sideways range.
Based on the above discussed Relative Strength Index or RSI
range parameters, one can easily trade the underlying asset.
Williams
% R
Like most
other technical indicators, you can probably find the Williams %R in your
favorite charting package. While you do not need to calculate the raw values by
hand, there are many good reasons why you should probably thoroughly understand
the Williams %R formula. It is always a good idea to pay attention to how a
technical indicator generates its signals as you are about to risk a lot of
your hard earned money based on its signals.
In this formula, the highest high would be
the highest recorded price of the security for the number of time periods you
are calculating the Williams %R. On the other hand, the lowest low would be the
lowest price during the same period. The close in the formula represents the
closing price of the last bar or time period.
This is why professional traders recommend
that you should always wait for the bar to close before considering a signal
generated by the Williams %R indicator. During extremely volatile market
conditions, the closing price can change quickly and the signal can reverse
after you have placed an order.
Indicators other
Advances and declines-------Advances and
declines refers to the number of stocks that closed
at a higher and lower price than the previous day, respectively. ... Typically,
a market will be more bullish if more stocks advance than decline and
vice versa .To calculate the advance-decline
ratio, divide the number of advancing shares by the number
of declining shares. The advance-decline ratio can
be calculated for various time periods, such as one day, one
week or one month.
This the best example of advance and decline chart of bank Nifty.
The
above chart is totally based on advance and decline ratio here each and
everything itself exclaimed by char itself.
Future and option
Futures and options
represent two of the most common form of "Derivatives". Derivatives
are financial instruments that derive their value from an 'underlying'. The
underlying can be a stock issued by a company, a currency, Gold etc., The
derivative instrument can be traded independently of the underlying
asset.
The value of the derivative instrument changes according to the changes in the value of the underlying.
Derivatives are of two types -- exchange traded and over the counter.
Exchange traded derivatives, as the name signifies are traded through organized exchanges around the world. These instruments can be bought and sold through these exchanges, just like the stock market. Some of the common exchange traded derivative instruments are futures and options.
Over the counter (popularly known as OTC) derivatives are not traded through the exchanges. They are not standardized and have varied features. Some of the popular OTC instruments are forwards, swaps, swaptions etc.
Futures
A 'Future' is a contract to buy or sell the underlying asset for a specific price at a pre-determined time. If you buy a futures contract, it means that you promise to pay the price of the asset at a specified time. If you sell a future, you effectively make a promise to transfer the asset to the buyer of the future at a specified price at a particular time. Every futures contract has the following features:
The value of the derivative instrument changes according to the changes in the value of the underlying.
Derivatives are of two types -- exchange traded and over the counter.
Exchange traded derivatives, as the name signifies are traded through organized exchanges around the world. These instruments can be bought and sold through these exchanges, just like the stock market. Some of the common exchange traded derivative instruments are futures and options.
Over the counter (popularly known as OTC) derivatives are not traded through the exchanges. They are not standardized and have varied features. Some of the popular OTC instruments are forwards, swaps, swaptions etc.
Futures
A 'Future' is a contract to buy or sell the underlying asset for a specific price at a pre-determined time. If you buy a futures contract, it means that you promise to pay the price of the asset at a specified time. If you sell a future, you effectively make a promise to transfer the asset to the buyer of the future at a specified price at a particular time. Every futures contract has the following features:
- Buyer
- Seller
- Price
- Expiry
Some of
the most popular assets on which futures contracts are available are equity
stocks, indices, commodities and currency.
The difference between the price of the underlying asset in the spot market and the futures market is called 'Basis'. (As 'spot market' is a market for immediate delivery) The basis is usually negative, which means that the price of the asset in the futures market is more than the price in the spot market. This is because of the interest cost, storage cost, insurance premium etc., That is, if you buy the asset in the spot market, you will be incurring all these expenses, which are not needed if you buy a futures contract. This condition of basis being negative is called as 'Contango'.
Sometimes it is more profitable to hold the asset in physical form than in the form of futures. For eg: if you hold equity shares in your account you will receive dividends, whereas if you hold equity futures you will not be eligible for any dividend.
When these benefits overshadow the expenses associated with the holding of the asset, the basis becomes positive (i.e., the price of the asset in the spot market is more than in the futures market). This condition is called 'Backwardation'. Backwardation generally happens if the price of the asset is expected to fall.
It is common that, as the futures contract approaches maturity, the futures price and the spot price tend to close in the gap between them ie., the basis slowly becomes zero.
Options
Options contracts are instruments that give the holder of the instrument the right to buy or sell the underlying asset at a predetermined price. An option can be a 'call' option or a 'put' option.
A call option gives the buyer, the right to buy the asset at a given price. This 'given price' is called 'strike price'. It should be noted that while the holder of the call option has a right to demand sale of asset from the seller, the seller has only the obligation and not the right. For eg: if the buyer wants to buy the asset, the seller has to sell it. He does not have a right.
Similarly a 'put' option gives the buyer a right to sell the asset at the 'strike price' to the buyer. Here the buyer has the right to sell and the seller has the obligation to buy.
So in any options contract, the right to exercise the option is vested with the buyer of the contract. The seller of the contract has only the obligation and no right. As the seller of the contract bears the obligation, he is paid a price called as 'premium'. Therefore the price that is paid for buying an option contract is called as premium.
The buyer of a call option will not exercise his option (to buy) if, on expiry, the price of the asset in the spot market is less than the strike price of the call. For eg: A bought a call at a strike price of Rs 500. On expiry the price of the asset is Rs 450. A will not exercise his call. Because he can buy the same asset from the market at Rs 450, rather than paying Rs 500 to the seller of the option.
The buyer of a put option will not exercise his option (to sell) if, on expiry, the price of the asset in the spot market is more than the strike price of the call. For eg: B bought a put at a strike price of Rs 600. On expiry the price of the asset is Rs 619. A will not exercise his put option. Because he can sell the same asset in the market at Rs 619, rather than giving it to the seller of the put option for Rs 600.
The difference between the price of the underlying asset in the spot market and the futures market is called 'Basis'. (As 'spot market' is a market for immediate delivery) The basis is usually negative, which means that the price of the asset in the futures market is more than the price in the spot market. This is because of the interest cost, storage cost, insurance premium etc., That is, if you buy the asset in the spot market, you will be incurring all these expenses, which are not needed if you buy a futures contract. This condition of basis being negative is called as 'Contango'.
Sometimes it is more profitable to hold the asset in physical form than in the form of futures. For eg: if you hold equity shares in your account you will receive dividends, whereas if you hold equity futures you will not be eligible for any dividend.
When these benefits overshadow the expenses associated with the holding of the asset, the basis becomes positive (i.e., the price of the asset in the spot market is more than in the futures market). This condition is called 'Backwardation'. Backwardation generally happens if the price of the asset is expected to fall.
It is common that, as the futures contract approaches maturity, the futures price and the spot price tend to close in the gap between them ie., the basis slowly becomes zero.
Options
Options contracts are instruments that give the holder of the instrument the right to buy or sell the underlying asset at a predetermined price. An option can be a 'call' option or a 'put' option.
A call option gives the buyer, the right to buy the asset at a given price. This 'given price' is called 'strike price'. It should be noted that while the holder of the call option has a right to demand sale of asset from the seller, the seller has only the obligation and not the right. For eg: if the buyer wants to buy the asset, the seller has to sell it. He does not have a right.
Similarly a 'put' option gives the buyer a right to sell the asset at the 'strike price' to the buyer. Here the buyer has the right to sell and the seller has the obligation to buy.
So in any options contract, the right to exercise the option is vested with the buyer of the contract. The seller of the contract has only the obligation and no right. As the seller of the contract bears the obligation, he is paid a price called as 'premium'. Therefore the price that is paid for buying an option contract is called as premium.
The buyer of a call option will not exercise his option (to buy) if, on expiry, the price of the asset in the spot market is less than the strike price of the call. For eg: A bought a call at a strike price of Rs 500. On expiry the price of the asset is Rs 450. A will not exercise his call. Because he can buy the same asset from the market at Rs 450, rather than paying Rs 500 to the seller of the option.
The buyer of a put option will not exercise his option (to sell) if, on expiry, the price of the asset in the spot market is more than the strike price of the call. For eg: B bought a put at a strike price of Rs 600. On expiry the price of the asset is Rs 619. A will not exercise his put option. Because he can sell the same asset in the market at Rs 619, rather than giving it to the seller of the put option for Rs 600.
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